Saturday, March 28, 2009

Consumer sentiment rises

NEW YORK (Reuters) -- Consumers' mood brightened a bit in March, nudged up by increased confidence in government economic policy, but overall sentiment remained near an all-time low, a survey showed Friday.

The Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers said its final index of sentiment rose to 57.3 in March from 56.3 in February. This was a touch above economists' median expectation of a 56.6 reading, according to a Reuters poll.

The survey hit a record low of 51.7 in May, 1980.

The index of consumer expectations rose to 53.5 from 50.5. Survey director Richard Curtin said confidence in the Obama administration's economic policies improved consumers' mood, with 22% of those surveyed rating policy favorably in March, compared with 7% in January.

Americans' view of their present situation remained dim, with the index of economic conditions slipping to 63.3 in March from 65.5 in February.

"Although the data indicate that the downward momentum in confidence ended in the closing months of 2008, there is no evidence that consumers expect their finances to improve any time soon," Curtin said.

While the survey showed 44% of consumers expected government policy to improve their personal finances, an all-time record number of consumers said incomes had declined compared with a year ago.

They also anticipated the smallest annual income gains ever recorded - 0.2% compared to 2.5% a year ago.

Stocks pared losses after the sentiment data, while the dollar held its gains against the euro.

Inflation signals were mixed. The report's reading on one-year inflation expectations rose to 2% from from 1.9% in February, but five-year inflation expectations fell to 2.6% from 3.1%.

"Overall, there has not been another period in the past quarter century that deflation was more widely anticipated," Curtin said. 


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