Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Wall Street, break up and go private

In happier times Wall Street could explain away its obscene compensation levels by saying it needed to pay what it took to keep the best and brightest onboard. But that doesn't resonate these days, given that Wall Street's meltdown touched off the Great Recession, whose effects linger almost everywhere but the Street.

The fact is that even sound, well-run outfits like Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) and J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) were saved by taxpayer money after the Great Credit Crunch got under way in mid-2007. Had the Federal Reserve and other central bankers not flooded the world with cheap cash, Goldman's and Morgan's counterparties -- the ones on the other side of their market bets -- would have failed. That would have wiped out Goldman and Morgan. The $240 billion of TARP money that was lent to banks (most since repaid) was a relatively trivial amount.

In an ideal world, this year the Street would acknowledge the public largesse by having the sense not to pay bonuses of more than six digits -- hey, its worker bees need money in order to survive in the high-cost New York City area -- and would make a nice voluntary contribution to the government that saved it. But the Street isn't in the gratitude business; it's in the making-money business.

Washington is no prize either. It whines about Wall Street and adopts symbolic poses -- denunciations of "obscene" bonuses and "fat-cat bankers" by President Obama, for example -- but doesn't do the substantive thing: breaking up those institutions so that they're not too big to be allowed to fail. The pols don't want to mess with institutions that have real power, are sources of campaign contributions, and can offer lucrative post-public-office employment.

How can we bridge the Wall Street-Main Street divide? We can't. But we can make sure that we won't again be faced with having to bail out Wall Street, only to watch the Street snap back and earn tremendous profits while the rest of the country continues to suffer.

First, we do the obvious thing: Break up giant institutions into safe and boring operations (such as taking deposits and making personal and commercial loans) and gunslinger operations (such as speculating in credit default swaps). We'll provide federal backing to the safe and boring, but not to the gunslingers.

Getting commercial banks out of the gunslinging business would also eliminate the financial arms race that led to the now departed Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers taking on excessive risk in order to compete with investment banks owned by commercial banks.

The gunslinger firms would be allowed to fail. They would not have public investors' money at risk through owning their stock, and they could pay as much in bonuses as they wanted because as private entities they wouldn't have to disclose much, and no one outside of Wall Street would know or much care about what they're paying.

Their managers and employees wouldn't be able to cash out by selling stock in the public market, as they can now. Tough.

We regular citizens would be off the hook for Wall Street's risky business, and the Street could do what it wanted with its own money, the way hedge funds and most buyout firms do now. There'd be a lot less whining and posing. But I think we can live with that. 

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